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Logano, Keselowski Share Best Odds to Win Coke Zero Sugar 400

Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach in Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night in the Coke Zero Sugar 400.

Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory a week and he’s +1800 chances to repeat, but it’s Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.

Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick at +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.

Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races at Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings during that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has only two victories.
There has not been a repeat winner at this course since Jimmie Johnson did thus in the 2 races in 2013. Denny Hamlin appears to become the most recent driver to do it won the Daytona 500 in February.
Only once over the last 17 races at Daytona has the winner started on the pole which was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting position for the driver who carried the checkered flag over the span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood a week at Chicagoland and has had good qualifying speed at Daytona recently. He’s started first or second in each of the past three runnings in this course, but has completed 10th or worse, so until he can find the same speed from the race, I’ll stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success during the Daytona 500 than he has at the midseason race at this course. In the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 in the July race, and it has crashed in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has had a string of terrible luck at Daytona recently, with dropped in four of the last five races there, but six races back in this course, he drove to victory lane. He’s five wins at Talladega, yet another restrictor-plate track, so he knows the way to compete in those races. Start looking for him to be at the hunt Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) less a favorite seems to be an automatic wager, but Daytona has gotten the better of him most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he’s forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s only three top-five finishes there over the last 14 races, however he had been the runner-up in this season’s Daytona 500.
I have been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he had not shown signs of his former leading self before last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but finally finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of those five races in Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps in three of these runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this may be a fantastic spot for Harvick.

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